Squash-828
0xbae056a30f965eaca156ba9cea8f5dd9eff00b68
- Realised P&L
- $-7.22
- Volume
- $813.73
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $0.46
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)35.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.015 | $0.46 | −$0.54 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.04at 0.638Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in September?
- +$1.17at 0.547Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
- +$0.93at 0.527Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 30?
- +$0.57at 0.489Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4PM ET
- +$0.49at 0.750Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 12:07 | Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in September? | SELL | 0.951 | $18.53 |
| 09-29 16:05 | Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in September? | BUY | 0.7799999672 | $4.75 |
| 09-29 15:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.10 |
| 09-29 11:00 | Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in September? | BUY | 0.629999995 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 10:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 3? | SELL | 0.91 | $4.94 |
| 09-29 10:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 4? | SELL | 0.74 | $0.98 |
| 09-28 20:57 | Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in September? | BUY | 0.4499999848 | $1.48 |
| 09-28 20:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 5? | SELL | 0.87 | $0.98 |
| 09-28 20:47 | Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in September? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 20:42 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October? | BUY | 0.0318181812 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 17:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 10:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | SELL | 0.92 | $2.30 |
| 09-28 10:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 1? | SELL | 0.083 | $0.85 |
| 09-28 00:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 09-28 00:09 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $1.00 |