golf-stage-3
0xbad973e9b54c4b9eaaf4c3a213c946236dde7ad0
- Realised P&L
- $712.88
- Volume
- $4.91M
- Markets traded
- 137
- Open portfolio
- $4.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded137
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$246.17at 0.059Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$160.87at 0.007Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
- +$149.17at 0.029Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$144.89at 0.062Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
- +$94.49at 0.023Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-30 08:05 | Will St. Louis City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.04 |
| 08-18 06:27 | Will FC Dallas win the 2026 MLS Cup? | SELL | 0.016 | $1.89 |
| 08-16 18:07 | Will FC Dallas win the 2026 MLS Cup? | SELL | 0.013 | $5.42 |
| 08-10 05:35 | Will Porto win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship? | SELL | 0.41 | $13.19 |
| 07-28 03:54 | Will Los Angeles FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.91 |
| 07-25 07:14 | Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | SELL | 0.02 | $1.01 |
| 07-21 04:52 | Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | SELL | 0.083 | $4.27 |
| 07-16 06:20 | Will Chicago Fire FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | SELL | 0.055 | $1.64 |
| 07-14 20:55 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.562 | $10.01 |
| 07-14 20:51 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.252 | $6.99 |
| 07-14 20:31 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.197 | $4.38 |
| 07-14 20:30 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.248 | $10.12 |
| 07-14 20:29 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.246 | $10.04 |
| 07-14 20:29 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.247 | $10.08 |
| 07-14 20:29 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.247 | $10.08 |