yjythythy
0xbad78de9cc61e503597738d0ee1e930f00005498
- Realised P&L
- $0.52
- Volume
- $27.66
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $8.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 15? · No | 0.985 | 1.000 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 15? · No | 0.986 | 1.000 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 15? · No | 0.988 | 1.000 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 15? · No | 0.989 | 1.000 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C or below on October 15? · No | 0.990 | 1.000 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 16? · No | 0.980 | 0.984 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 16? · No | 0.990 | 0.983 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 16? · No | 0.976 | 0.967 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.09at 0.914Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 13?
- +$0.06at 0.943Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 8?
- +$0.05at 0.952Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 14?
- +$0.03at 0.967Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 12?
- +$0.03at 0.970Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 09:01 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 09:01 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 09:01 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.9759999922 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 15:51 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.9889999901 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 10:07 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.9859999882 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 10:06 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.985 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 10:06 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C or below on October 15? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 09:48 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.987999996 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 12:30 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 09:13 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.9889999901 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 09:13 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 12:45 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.9859999882 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 09:28 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.9819999863 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 09:28 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 09:28 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.9889999901 | $1.00 |