perpetually
0xbad521db32e27cc6903b347ca7111a4c9661e25e
- Realised P&L
- $-124.19
- Volume
- $20.8k
- Markets traded
- 133
- Open portfolio
- $6.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded133
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on September 21? · Down | 0.490 | 0.530 | $6.50 | +$0.49 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$188.72at 0.079Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on July 29?
- +$44.79at 0.482Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on April 8?
- +$35.05at 0.393Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on April 16?
- +$30.17at 0.230Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 8?
- +$25.31at 0.391Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on August 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 23:42 | Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on September 21? | BUY | 0.49 | $6.01 |
| 09-18 19:22 | Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on September 18? | SELL | 0.27 | $1.37 |
| 09-18 13:34 | Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on September 18? | SELL | 0.25 | $1.59 |
| 09-18 13:33 | Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on September 18? | SELL | 0.29 | $3.80 |
| 09-18 13:29 | Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on September 18? | SELL | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 12:02 | Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on September 18? | SELL | 0.48 | $2.73 |
| 09-17 23:47 | Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.42 | $6.03 |
| 09-17 23:09 | Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on September 18? | SELL | 0.56 | $4.30 |
| 09-17 22:00 | Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.48 | $6.00 |
| 09-17 08:12 | Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on September 17? | SELL | 0.6 | $4.43 |
| 09-16 22:36 | Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.46 | $6.13 |
| 09-16 17:28 | Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on September 16? | SELL | 0.61 | $4.75 |
| 09-16 15:48 | Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on September 16? | SELL | 0.61 | $3.05 |
| 09-16 15:47 | Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on September 16? | BUY | 0.39 | $6.14 |
| 09-16 00:00 | Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on September 16? | BUY | 0.46 | $6.19 |