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Traders

0xbad16135F8505aa608C720C2232742e8DD8D8151-1770346068961

0xbad16135f8505aa608c720c2232742e8dd8d8151

Realised P&L
$253.06
Volume
$29.5k
Markets traded
216
Open portfolio
$447.05

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded216
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? · No0.1990.720$115.85+$83.85
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · No0.8000.925$55.50+$7.50
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026? · No0.8430.910$54.60+$4.00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · Yes0.7500.815$48.90+$3.90
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September? · No0.7900.976$48.77+$9.28
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? · No0.6000.730$36.50+$6.50
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? · No0.8200.825$32.17+$0.20
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.1300.185$18.50+$5.50
Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by September 30, 2026? · No0.7700.495$14.85$8.25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 24? · No0.4000.280$14.00$6.00
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by October 31? · No0.6600.740$7.40+$0.80
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? · No0.4600.000$0.00$25.30
ITF San Salvador De Jujuy: Felipe De Dios vs Aditya Vishal Balsekar · Aditya Vishal Balsekar0.5100.000$0.00$56.09
Iasi Open: Mayar Sherif vs Oleksandra Oliynykova · Oleksandra Oliynykova0.4500.000$0.00$52.65
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 5? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$4.21

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 19:06Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.443$19.93
09-18 18:02US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.75$45.00
09-18 17:56Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 24?BUY0.4$20.00
09-18 17:54Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.13$13.00
09-18 17:49Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 20?SELL0.994$99.40
09-18 02:18Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?BUY0.82$31.98
09-18 02:16Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?SELL0.975$29.25
09-16 00:53Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.85$34.00
09-16 00:52Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.83$16.60
09-15 02:47Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?BUY0.29$3.77
09-15 02:45Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?BUY0.21$1.68
09-14 20:22Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 15?BUY0.678$16.95
09-14 01:34Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 20?BUY0.79$79.00
09-08 14:44Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September?BUY0.1182961374$13.00
09-06 22:31Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?BUY0.6$30.00
Trader 0xbad16135F8505aa608C720C2232742e8DD8D8151-1770346068961 · PolyBot Pro