0xbad16135F8505aa608C720C2232742e8DD8D8151-1770346068961
0xbad16135f8505aa608c720c2232742e8dd8d8151
- Realised P&L
- $253.06
- Volume
- $29.5k
- Markets traded
- 216
- Open portfolio
- $447.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded216
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$149.75at 0.400Solana Up or Down on February 15?
- +$98.11at 0.511Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
- +$80.82at 0.550Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 1?
- +$76.64at 0.672Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
- +$72.24at 0.420Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 19:06 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.443 | $19.93 |
| 09-18 18:02 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.75 | $45.00 |
| 09-18 17:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 24? | BUY | 0.4 | $20.00 |
| 09-18 17:54 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $13.00 |
| 09-18 17:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 20? | SELL | 0.994 | $99.40 |
| 09-18 02:18 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $31.98 |
| 09-18 02:16 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.975 | $29.25 |
| 09-16 00:53 | Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $34.00 |
| 09-16 00:52 | Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $16.60 |
| 09-15 02:47 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $3.77 |
| 09-15 02:45 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.68 |
| 09-14 20:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 15? | BUY | 0.678 | $16.95 |
| 09-14 01:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 20? | BUY | 0.79 | $79.00 |
| 09-08 14:44 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September? | BUY | 0.1182961374 | $13.00 |
| 09-06 22:31 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | BUY | 0.6 | $30.00 |