josue01
0xbad1085ef3556f6b0b698ca09b8c1aee087c02ce
- Realised P&L
- $-3.17
- Volume
- $196.71
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $2.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)51.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres · Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.460 | 0.455 | $1.48 | −$0.02 |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Boston Red Sox · Chicago Cubs | 0.530 | 0.515 | $1.17 | −$0.03 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Houston Astros · Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds · Milwaukee Brewers | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
| UFC Fight Night: Morgan Charrière vs. Felipe Lima (Featherweight, Main Card) · Morgan Charrière | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Colorado Rockies · St. Louis Cardinals | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.12at 0.249Lionel Messi: 1+ assists
- +$1.41at 0.298Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$1.17at 0.328Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$1.15at 0.572Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox
- +$1.11at 0.477Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 16:32 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.4599999387 | $1.50 |
| 09-24 16:31 | Chicago Cubs vs. Boston Red Sox | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $1.20 |
| 09-24 02:21 | Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves | SELL | 0.66 | $1.45 |
| 09-23 19:19 | Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.6799999637 | $1.50 |
| 09-23 19:18 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox | BUY | 0.5599998805 | $1.50 |
| 09-05 22:41 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.5899998869 | $1.20 |
| 09-05 22:40 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 09-05 18:24 | UFC Fight Night: Morgan Charrière vs. Felipe Lima (Featherweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.3499998775 | $1.00 |
| 09-05 02:40 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Kansas City Royals | SELL | 0.999 | $2.04 |
| 09-04 23:22 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 16:52 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Kansas City Royals | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 16:29 | Chicago Cubs vs. Miami Marlins | BUY | 0.6 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 16:28 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.6 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 01:45 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers | SELL | 0.86 | $1.48 |
| 08-04 21:40 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |