0xFc1dB55266c78A2c4CF683af9323f5eCA63Cb6C5-1770796777213
0xbac71c586d1bc6f566ab000ce7dbe17b4e2e74f6
- Realised P&L
- $19.41
- Volume
- $111.59
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $1.15
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar17.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 18? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.165 | $0.82 | −$0.17 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on September 18? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.010 | $0.32 | −$0.68 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.63at 0.069Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 07:45 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 07:44 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.0311647838 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 07:31 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.6076510067 | $22.63 |
| 09-16 05:11 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.0657718121 | $2.45 |