PolyBot

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Traders

Karamazov89

0xbabcb072923086affe09b49c5c04e5ae45d3f582

Realised P&L
$-2.2k
Volume
$157.0k
Markets traded
3,981
Open portfolio
$162.90

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,981
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration2.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration3.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 18? · Yes0.9500.999$4.99+$0.24
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 19? · No0.9300.985$4.92+$0.28
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on September 18? · No0.9400.980$4.90+$0.20
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 19? · No0.9200.980$4.90+$0.30
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 19? · No0.9200.970$4.85+$0.25
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 19? · No0.9200.970$4.85+$0.25
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 19? · No0.9300.970$4.85+$0.20
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 19? · No0.9200.965$4.83+$0.23
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on September 19? · No0.9200.960$4.80+$0.20
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 19? · Yes0.9200.955$4.78+$0.17
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 19? · No0.9380.948$4.74+$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 20? · No0.9200.945$4.72+$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 19? · No0.9200.945$4.72+$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 19? · No0.9200.940$4.70+$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 19? · No0.9200.935$4.67+$0.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 01:43Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 19?SELL0.999$5.00
09-19 01:35Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 19?SELL0.999$5.00
09-19 01:13Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on September 20?BUY0.93$4.65
09-19 01:11Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on September 18?SELL0.999$5.00
09-19 01:02Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 18?SELL0.999$5.00
09-19 00:56Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 18?SELL0.999$5.00
09-19 00:56Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 18?SELL0.999$5.00
09-19 00:50Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on September 18?SELL0.999$5.00
09-19 00:42Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 20?BUY0.93$4.65
09-19 00:42Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 18?SELL0.999$5.00
09-19 00:42Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 18?SELL0.999$5.00
09-19 00:32Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 19?BUY0.93$4.65
09-19 00:30Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 18?SELL0.999$5.00
09-19 00:08Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 18?SELL0.999$5.00
09-19 00:04Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on September 18?SELL0.999$5.00