Karamazov89
0xbabcb072923086affe09b49c5c04e5ae45d3f582
- Realised P&L
- $-2.2k
- Volume
- $144.1k
- Markets traded
- 3,536
- Open portfolio
- $192.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,536
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration5.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$150.77at 0.249Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
- +$107.67at 0.736Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
- +$98.53at 0.337Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
- +$79.00at 0.210Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
- +$74.00at 0.260Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 15:29 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.9 | $18.64 |
| 08-04 14:38 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on August 4? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.04 |
| 08-04 13:55 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.85 | $6.09 |
| 08-04 11:51 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.05 |
| 08-04 11:06 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.15 | $1.47 |
| 08-04 06:04 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.8899999968 | $19.71 |
| 08-04 05:44 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.8599999974 | $19.77 |
| 08-04 05:34 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.9399999994 | $29.62 |
| 08-03 15:25 | Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.23 |
| 08-03 11:09 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.9399999981 | $19.84 |
| 08-03 10:45 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.94 | $7.17 |
| 08-03 10:19 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on August 4? | BUY | 0.94 | $19.82 |
| 08-03 10:06 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.9299999995 | $19.94 |
| 08-03 06:17 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.8799999965 | $19.96 |
| 08-03 06:11 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C or below on August 4? | BUY | 0.9299999758 | $19.96 |