Ace111137
0xbab104799e08539e44555edce1b461f13dab3697
- Realised P&L
- $234.31
- Volume
- $111.2k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $2.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.028 | $1.9k | −$250.18 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.023 | $449.46 | +$91.18 |
| Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond? · Yes | 0.088 | 0.012 | $2.30 | −$14.49 |
| Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on August 31? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$127.80 |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-05? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-09-05? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$44.00 |
| Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on August 31? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.97 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$549.99at 0.089Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$211.31at 0.321Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs
- +$0.12at 0.369Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$-3.28at 0.166Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-57.82at 0.738Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 09:01 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0189209717 | $23.94 |
| 10-06 08:58 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.017 | $21.42 |
| 10-06 06:48 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.027 | $50.49 |
| 10-02 00:36 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0189837705 | $1.01 |
| 10-02 00:31 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.027 | $46.42 |
| 10-02 00:29 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.017 | $19.21 |
| 09-28 12:44 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.029 | $2.26 |
| 09-27 12:11 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.022 | $2.64 |
| 09-27 12:08 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.022 | $1.10 |
| 09-27 12:07 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.022 | $1.76 |
| 09-27 12:06 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.022 | $1.10 |
| 09-27 12:02 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.028 | $57.15 |
| 09-26 10:21 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.02 | $45.66 |
| 09-24 05:22 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.02 | $10.00 |
| 09-23 06:20 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.02 | $16.80 |