Analogbinaryclawwwwwwwwww
0xbaacef55b8f17b9a556098e058e60e0ab69a805b
- Realised P&L
- $-52.22
- Volume
- $861.45
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $34.27
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration34.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $2,500 October 19-25? · No | 0.490 | 0.575 | $19.06 | +$2.82 |
| Will Solana reach $110 October 19-25? · No | 0.660 | 0.615 | $15.22 | −$1.11 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 July 13-19? · No | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will XRP reach $1.10 August 17-23? · No | 0.527 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.15 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? · No | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$78.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 17-23? · No | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.79 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.88at 0.116Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?
- +$22.67at 0.417Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 12-18?
- +$17.82at 0.190Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?
- +$11.36at 0.753Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 3-9?
- +$3.19at 0.617Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 6-12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 10:09 | Will Solana reach $110 October 19-25? | BUY | 0.6599999927 | $16.33 |
| 10-19 23:11 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 October 19-25? | BUY | 0.4899999873 | $16.24 |
| 10-12 16:01 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.4 | $15.55 |
| 08-19 15:48 | Will XRP reach $1.10 August 17-23? | BUY | 0.5269999893 | $20.15 |
| 08-17 16:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 17-23? | BUY | 0.6199999899 | $20.79 |
| 08-04 00:11 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.7399999978 | $34.09 |
| 07-14 12:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 13-19? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 07-13 16:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 July 13-19? | BUY | 0.3499999615 | $5.00 |
| 07-06 18:34 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 6-12? | BUY | 0.599999976 | $5.00 |
| 07-06 16:23 | Will Ethereum reach $1,900 July 6-12? | BUY | 0.6499999675 | $5.00 |
| 07-04 15:26 | Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 June 29-July 5? | BUY | 0.7539999723 | $5.00 |
| 06-09 15:42 | Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.1800729024 | $78.00 |
| 04-04 13:51 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April? | BUY | 0.1086732055 | $3.77 |
| 03-22 21:24 | Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March? | SELL | 0.86 | $21.50 |
| 03-19 13:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | BUY | 0.4779999961 | $7.03 |