roverpredicts
0xbaac4adee9e1b1eff4097ab2e2cc5a25ba22ff10
- Realised P&L
- $-17.5k
- Volume
- $2.81M
- Markets traded
- 1,064
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,064
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lions vs. Panthers: O/U 37.5 · Over | 0.880 | 1.000 | $999.50 | +$119.50 |
| Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.607 | 0.605 | $528.66 | −$2.08 |
| Lions vs. Panthers: O/U 46.5 · Over | 0.660 | 1.000 | $229.88 | +$78.08 |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: Anytime Touchdown · Yes | 0.740 | 0.755 | $151.00 | +$3.00 |
| Jazz vs. Nuggets · Nuggets | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.654Jazz vs. Wizards
- +$1.6kat 0.762Hawks vs. Heat
- +$1.3kat 0.330Will the government shutdown end November 13?
- +$1.1kat 0.884Mavericks vs. Hornets
- +$1.1kat 0.860Bulls vs. Suns
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 00:03 | Jahmyr Gibbs: Anytime Touchdown | BUY | 0.74 | $148.00 |
| 10-04 23:05 | Broncos vs. 49ers | BUY | 0.94 | $470.00 |
| 10-04 23:02 | Broncos vs. 49ers | BUY | 0.93 | $465.00 |
| 10-04 23:01 | Jazz vs. Nuggets | BUY | 0.6 | $150.00 |
| 10-04 22:14 | Dolphins vs. Vikings | BUY | 0.93 | $465.00 |
| 10-04 21:53 | Dolphins vs. Vikings | BUY | 0.89 | $445.00 |
| 10-04 21:09 | Lions vs. Panthers: O/U 37.5 | BUY | 0.88 | $880.00 |
| 10-04 21:01 | Lions vs. Panthers: O/U 46.5 | BUY | 0.66 | $151.80 |
| 10-04 20:24 | Will Denmark win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.86 | $860.00 |
| 10-04 17:21 | Spread: Packers (-7.5) | BUY | 0.63815 | $127.63 |
| 10-04 10:13 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jiri Lehecka vs Adolfo Vallejo | BUY | 0.91 | $910.00 |
| 10-04 03:26 | Texas State vs. San Diego State | BUY | 0.89 | $445.00 |
| 10-04 00:39 | Spread: Texas State (-4.5) | BUY | 0.65 | $110.51 |
| 10-04 00:39 | Texas State vs. San Diego State | BUY | 0.77 | $539.00 |
| 10-03 13:11 | FK Haugesund vs. Stabaek IF: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.61 | $122.00 |