0xBAA5F497303E75F794b2e4beA2e6f5Cdd98526f4-1791895800201
0xbaa5f497303e75f794b2e4bea2e6f5cdd98526f4
- Realised P&L
- $2.22
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $165.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.20at 0.390Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$2.00at 0.400S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 14?
- +$1.00at 0.570Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026?
- +$0.79at 0.630Will Altria (MO) Q3 total domestic cigarettes shipment volume (sticks in billions) be above 15B?
- +$0.60at 0.580US imports Russian diesel by November 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 02:55 | Will Altria (MO) Q3 total domestic cigarettes shipment volume (sticks in billions) be above 15B? | SELL | 0.64 | $0.43 |
| 10-14 15:51 | Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Colima Congress election? | SELL | 0.68 | $2.04 |
| 10-14 14:18 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on October 14? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.20 |
| 10-14 13:54 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 14? | SELL | 0.51 | $10.20 |