0xba9a46508250a1d10147788cfe96dcc7a89e1842
0xba9a46508250a1d10147788cfe96dcc7a89e1842
- Realised P&L
- $8.76
- Volume
- $215.23
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $1.93
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $192.50 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.665 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.520 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.98at 0.237Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?
- +$4.09at 0.260US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
- +$3.59at 0.300Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ?
- +$3.30at 0.319SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10?
- +$2.87at 0.349Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 10:01 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:57 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $192.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 05:34 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $367.50 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 08:19 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:08 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 29, 2026? | SELL | 0.76 | $1.58 |
| 09-24 17:58 | Will Costco say "Spending" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 09:57 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999808 | $1.50 |
| 09-19 07:42 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.50 |
| 09-16 23:30 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 14 2026? | SELL | 0.42 | $1.91 |
| 09-16 23:29 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of September 14 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $2.02 |
| 09-16 23:29 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.27 |
| 09-16 23:28 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of September 14 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.28 |
| 09-15 18:17 | Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.2299999693 | $1.50 |
| 09-15 09:29 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.329999967 | $1.50 |
| 09-14 23:35 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7199997696 | $1.50 |