PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

icidark

0xba942ad2ac68f9af230b4944c05b2e2e8da6d855

Realised P&L
$1.0k
Volume
$194.7k
Markets traded
74
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded74
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? · Yes0.3860.305$466.08$123.19
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? · Yes0.4590.355$453.40$132.55
Base FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.6400.580$290.00$30.00
Base FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.7000.465$9.30$4.70
Will Irma Rosibel Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 3% and 6%? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$2.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-26 23:48Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?BUY0.4$35.46
12-20 10:37Over $50M committed to the Gensyn public sale?BUY0.05$25.00
12-10 18:53Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?BUY0.036$18.00
12-10 17:32HumidiFi FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.02$1.00
12-10 09:57HumidiFi FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.09$2.53
12-10 09:36HumidiFi FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.0049996975$5.29
12-10 09:32HumidiFi FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.004$1.77
12-06 17:31Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?SELL0.002$2.00
12-06 09:53Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?BUY0.261$26.10
12-06 09:53Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?BUY0.261$104.40
12-06 09:39Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?BUY0.2998846$59.98
12-05 22:59Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?SELL0.349$104.56
12-05 20:58Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?SELL0.315$9.13
12-04 19:18HumidiFi FDV above $80M one day after launch?BUY0.0898942345$130.35
12-04 19:17HumidiFi FDV above $80M one day after launch?BUY0.086$4.30