PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Bzm4

0xba8df6bcbc065584b3291a8c541ea32b67ecdd80

Realised P&L
$-35.80
Volume
$2.6k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$28.17

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration81.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.2560.454$17.71+$7.71
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1000.043$4.25$5.75
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1100.055$2.50$2.50
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.1900.075$1.97$3.03
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? · Yes0.0900.026$1.73$4.27
Trump out as President by June 30? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$5.00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00$10.00
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$10.00
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+? · Yes0.4600.000$0.00$10.00
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00$5.00
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$10.00
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? · Yes0.0440.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-21 17:40Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?SELL0.22$9.56
06-18 16:29Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?BUY0.032247719$5.00
06-18 16:24Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?BUY0.0439999918$5.00
06-18 16:23Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?BUY0.2299999869$10.00
06-18 16:17Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?BUY0.05$10.00
06-18 16:17Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?BUY0.011$10.00
06-18 16:15Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026?BUY0.7248103552$10.00
06-18 15:53Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.1$10.00
06-17 23:20Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.1099999815$5.00
06-17 23:19Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?BUY0.0899999872$6.00
06-17 23:17Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.256$10.00
06-17 23:16Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?BUY0.3799999833$10.00
06-17 23:13Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?BUY0.4599999844$10.00
06-17 23:12Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.1899999726$5.00
06-17 23:11Trump out as President by June 30?BUY0.0062343584$5.00