Bzm4
0xba8df6bcbc065584b3291a8c541ea32b67ecdd80
- Realised P&L
- $-35.80
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $28.17
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.32at 0.380Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?
- +$3.69at 0.733Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026?
- +$-0.43at 0.230Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-21 17:40 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $9.56 |
| 06-18 16:29 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? | BUY | 0.032247719 | $5.00 |
| 06-18 16:24 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? | BUY | 0.0439999918 | $5.00 |
| 06-18 16:23 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999869 | $10.00 |
| 06-18 16:17 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $10.00 |
| 06-18 16:17 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.011 | $10.00 |
| 06-18 16:15 | Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026? | BUY | 0.7248103552 | $10.00 |
| 06-18 15:53 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 06-17 23:20 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.1099999815 | $5.00 |
| 06-17 23:19 | Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? | BUY | 0.0899999872 | $6.00 |
| 06-17 23:17 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.256 | $10.00 |
| 06-17 23:16 | Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30? | BUY | 0.3799999833 | $10.00 |
| 06-17 23:13 | Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+? | BUY | 0.4599999844 | $10.00 |
| 06-17 23:12 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.1899999726 | $5.00 |
| 06-17 23:11 | Trump out as President by June 30? | BUY | 0.0062343584 | $5.00 |