BjornB0rg
0xba8dd61433d36a756183c9bddb2fb075ade03d94
- Realised P&L
- $-196.08
- Volume
- $35.6k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $357.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| QFEX FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.477 | 0.605 | $183.72 | +$38.72 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.082 | 0.097 | $117.68 | +$17.68 |
| QFEX FDV above $80M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.460 | $33.54 | −$1.46 |
| QFEX FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.199 | 0.220 | $22.12 | +$2.12 |
| US government shutdown by October 1? · No | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
| Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yes | 0.196 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.14 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.358 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$179.12 |
| Will another coin be listed first on Robinhood? · Yes | 0.677 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$91.03at 0.746Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by August 31?
- +$81.80at 0.967Will Biden pardon SBF?
- +$49.45at 0.910Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% in 2025?
- +$43.48at 0.920Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in July?
- +$26.28at 0.950Tether Insolvent in 2024?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 09:53 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0819999999 | $100.00 |
| 08-27 10:13 | QFEX FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1989238221 | $20.00 |
| 08-27 10:11 | QFEX FDV above $80M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4799999973 | $35.00 |
| 08-27 10:09 | QFEX FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4774975822 | $145.00 |
| 07-23 13:50 | Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.0093151389 | $24.51 |
| 04-27 15:52 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.965 | $499.73 |
| 04-02 13:43 | Pacifica FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9499999989 | $500.00 |
| 01-28 14:06 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January? | BUY | 0.9949610374 | $850.00 |
| 01-05 21:30 | Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January? | BUY | 0.9868914419 | $1000.00 |
| 01-05 21:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January? | BUY | 0.9819825129 | $625.00 |
| 12-08 15:28 | Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31? | BUY | 0.992 | $2.3k |
| 12-08 15:25 | Will Microstrategy's mNAV reach 2.00 by December 31? | BUY | 0.988 | $2.0k |
| 11-15 12:47 | Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31? | BUY | 0.977 | $370.44 |
| 09-05 16:28 | US government shutdown by October 1? | BUY | 0.6499999997 | $500.00 |
| 08-30 16:43 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% in 2025? | BUY | 0.9099999999 | $500.00 |