Aryan7812
0xba89de15e1fd7eecf15cc0b5dcbca90153da3b15
- Realised P&L
- $-9.32
- Volume
- $1.0k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $6.20
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration92.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September? · Yes | 0.086 | 0.099 | $5.76 | +$0.76 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 29? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.001 | $0.41 | −$1.19 |
| Will Maldives win on 2026-09-28? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.001 | $0.04 | −$2.82 |
| Will Romania win on 2026-09-25? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.57 |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-09-25? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.36 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 18:19 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.0019542271 | $1.60 |
| 09-28 17:54 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September? | BUY | 0.0859999998 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 12:38 | Will Maldives win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.0389999996 | $2.86 |
| 09-25 19:04 | Will Romania win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.1299999975 | $3.57 |
| 09-25 19:03 | Will Türkiye win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.1399999974 | $5.36 |