0xC7f56cfFfD105D82889429B6e189E84A53C16859-1761451547512
0xba7d4cfea5b5f38c5bfbe3f2f15f1cc558f1f957
- Realised P&L
- $-0.01
- Volume
- $566.32
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $1.73
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brentford FC win on 2026-09-18? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.345 | $1.73 | +$0.07 |
| Will Rodri join Barcelona? · No | 0.116 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess? · Yes | 0.047 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.67at 0.605Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$2.16at 0.690Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?
- +$-0.05at 0.081Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$-0.17at 0.054Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?
- +$-0.17at 0.442Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 17:21 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? | SELL | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 09-15 11:08 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 09-15 11:00 | Will Brentford FC win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 09-15 10:57 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.08 | $4.95 |
| 09-10 19:50 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.023 | $3.30 |
| 09-10 19:49 | Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? | SELL | 0.047 | $0.90 |
| 09-10 19:49 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.21 |
| 09-08 13:24 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? | BUY | 0.139999994 | $1.41 |
| 08-07 20:00 | Will Rodri join Barcelona? | BUY | 0.1159999508 | $2.00 |
| 08-07 19:59 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0309999705 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 13:52 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 08:12 | Will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess? | BUY | 0.0466971677 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 17:09 | Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? | SELL | 0.985 | $7.25 |
| 08-05 08:37 | Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? | BUY | 0.6789999795 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 14:58 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.0899999736 | $3.00 |