0xbA763ecF50E3abF70Be1Db8B975a10A5ca65bc5d-1789751625069
0xba763ecf50e3abf70be1db8b975a10a5ca65bc5d
- Realised P&L
- $-2.78
- Volume
- $284.70
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $41.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 20? · No | 0.790 | 0.755 | $8.22 | −$0.38 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 20? · No | 0.580 | 0.570 | $4.89 | −$0.09 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 20? · No | 0.790 | 0.780 | $4.89 | −$0.06 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 20? · No | 0.720 | 0.710 | $4.88 | −$0.07 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 20? · No | 0.710 | 0.695 | $4.85 | −$0.10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 20? · No | 0.400 | 0.390 | $4.83 | −$0.12 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 20? · Yes | 0.295 | 0.285 | $3.72 | −$0.13 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 20? · No | 0.590 | 0.545 | $2.60 | −$0.21 |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 20? · No | 0.600 | 0.590 | $1.92 | −$0.03 |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 20? · Yes | 0.235 | 0.190 | $1.03 | −$0.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.04at 0.798Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 20?
- +$-0.08at 0.691Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on September 20?
- +$-0.10at 0.482Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 20?
- +$-0.10at 0.592Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 20?
- +$-0.13at 0.720Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on September 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 22:17 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.7899999729 | $4.95 |
| 09-18 22:04 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.72 | $4.95 |
| 09-18 21:57 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.4 | $4.95 |
| 09-18 21:44 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.7099999986 | $4.95 |
| 09-18 21:19 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.6799999656 | $4.75 |
| 09-18 21:19 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.669999965 | $4.60 |
| 09-18 21:10 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.7899999963 | $4.30 |
| 09-18 21:10 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.7899999963 | $4.30 |
| 09-18 21:00 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.7127999629 | $4.95 |
| 09-18 20:51 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.6 | $4.95 |
| 09-18 20:41 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on September 19? | SELL | 0.61 | $4.45 |
| 09-18 20:41 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.6499999916 | $3.85 |
| 09-18 20:41 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.6099999973 | $4.45 |
| 09-18 20:41 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.5799999836 | $4.95 |
| 09-18 20:41 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.7299999841 | $4.60 |