Superfede99
0xba744eb5e72da64e65028c705e5fb1a5c0d38574
- Realised P&L
- $-5.22
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $3.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)51.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No | 0.460 | 0.950 | $2.06 | +$1.06 |
| Will Anyone's Legend win Worlds 2026? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.030 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Lecce be relegated from Serie A after the 2025-26 season? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Cremonese be relegated from Serie A after the 2025-26 season? · No | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs · T1 | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final? · No | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? · No | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.34at 0.357Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs
- +$6.36at 0.440Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
- +$3.52at 0.460Will Tottenham Hotspur win the UEFA Europa League?
- +$2.58at 0.810TikTok sale announced by September 30?
- +$1.74at 0.535US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 17:56 | Will Anyone's Legend win Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.0309544556 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 14:32 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.811 | $0.19 |
| 09-06 14:32 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.7934894763 | $16.21 |
| 09-06 14:30 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.753 | $5.18 |
| 09-06 14:26 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.7257097133 | $20.00 |
| 07-08 08:39 | LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs | BUY | 0.4899999804 | $5.00 |
| 05-10 21:37 | Will Lecce be relegated from Serie A after the 2025-26 season? | BUY | 0.33999983 | $1.00 |
| 05-10 21:37 | Will Cremonese be relegated from Serie A after the 2025-26 season? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 05-08 18:33 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.82 | $0.98 |
| 05-04 20:43 | Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.15 |
| 05-04 20:42 | Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.12 |
| 05-03 09:48 | US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31? | SELL | 0.042 | $0.07 |
| 05-03 09:40 | Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.3899998479 | $1.00 |
| 05-02 12:55 | Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs | BUY | 0.72 | $2.00 |
| 05-02 02:33 | Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs | SELL | 0.999 | $11.41 |