0xba73c464cf1a7c2ab1e7ef8f49ee2a99e84349b5
0xba73c464cf1a7c2ab1e7ef8f49ee2a99e84349b5
- Realised P&L
- $0.12
- Volume
- $873.47
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $11.98
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.485 | $5.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-10-05? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.180 | $3.46 | −$1.54 |
| Will Curacao win the 2026-27 CONCACAF Nations League? · Yes | 0.101 | 0.035 | $1.75 | −$3.25 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-10-04? · Yes | 0.083 | 0.018 | $1.09 | −$3.91 |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-10-04? · Yes | 0.059 | 0.007 | $0.63 | −$4.37 |
| Will China PR win on 2026-10-02? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Turkmenistan win on 2026-10-02? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.57at 0.216Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?
- +$4.89at 0.396Will Portugal win on 2026-09-27?
- +$2.15at 0.712Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
- +$1.97at 0.619XRP Up or Down - September 28, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
- +$0.99at 0.496Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 16:01 | Will Turkmenistan win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.0169999999 | $3.00 |
| 09-30 16:00 | Will China PR win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.0359999997 | $3.00 |
| 09-30 15:56 | Will Ghana win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.0594088816 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 15:56 | Will Morocco win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.0825339753 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 15:54 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.4899999984 | $3.00 |
| 09-30 01:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 01:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 01:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 01:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 01:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 01:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 22:31 | XRP Up or Down - September 28, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 22:30 | XRP Up or Down - September 28, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 22:30 | XRP Up or Down - September 28, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 22:27 | Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $5.00 |