PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

SpaceXY

0xba6d8dd2cbcc9bcacb47c1779d5c8241ad4f7c2b

Realised P&L
$-182.28
Volume
$6.9k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$115.37

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration51.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration96.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? · Yes0.0980.070$111.05$44.08
Will USD/KRW hit 1600 (High) in 2026? · Yes0.3460.090$4.32$12.28
Will Kim Tae-heum win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election? · Yes0.1280.000$0.00$8.92
Will the People Power Party win 5 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00$4.66
Will Kim Young-hwan win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election? · Yes0.0630.000$0.00$6.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-12 12:55Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?SELL0.24$12.34
06-08 11:32EWY (EWY) Up or Down on June 8?SELL0.12$0.36
06-08 11:31EWY (EWY) Up or Down on June 8?SELL0.14$13.58
06-05 14:26S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 5?SELL0.07$7.70
06-05 13:45Will USD/KRW hit 1600 (High) in 2026?BUY0.37$3.70
06-05 13:41Will USD/KRW hit 1600 (High) in 2026?BUY0.36$3.60
06-05 11:48S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 5?BUY0.44$26.40
06-05 05:28Will USD/KRW hit 1600 (High) in 2026?BUY0.37$3.70
06-05 05:13Will USD/KRW hit 1600 (High) in 2026?BUY0.36$3.60
06-05 03:03S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 5?BUY0.37$18.50
06-03 09:00Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionSELL0.1181058631$206.17
05-28 16:27Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETSELL0.31$6.74
05-28 16:25Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETBUY0.2299999692$5.00
05-28 15:12Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $208 in May?BUY0.38$38.00
05-28 15:10Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $208 in May?SELL0.62$61.80