SpaceXY
0xba6d8dd2cbcc9bcacb47c1779d5c8241ad4f7c2b
- Realised P&L
- $-182.28
- Volume
- $6.9k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $115.37
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? · Yes | 0.098 | 0.070 | $111.05 | −$44.08 |
| Will USD/KRW hit 1600 (High) in 2026? · Yes | 0.346 | 0.090 | $4.32 | −$12.28 |
| Will Kim Tae-heum win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election? · Yes | 0.128 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.92 |
| Will the People Power Party win 5 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.66 |
| Will Kim Young-hwan win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election? · Yes | 0.063 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$73.10at 0.206Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $204 in May?
- +$61.06at 0.389Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $208 in May?
- +$7.82at 0.081Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?
- +$1.14at 0.242Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
- +$0.10at 0.610Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $208 in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 12:55 | Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250? | SELL | 0.24 | $12.34 |
| 06-08 11:32 | EWY (EWY) Up or Down on June 8? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.36 |
| 06-08 11:31 | EWY (EWY) Up or Down on June 8? | SELL | 0.14 | $13.58 |
| 06-05 14:26 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 5? | SELL | 0.07 | $7.70 |
| 06-05 13:45 | Will USD/KRW hit 1600 (High) in 2026? | BUY | 0.37 | $3.70 |
| 06-05 13:41 | Will USD/KRW hit 1600 (High) in 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $3.60 |
| 06-05 11:48 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 5? | BUY | 0.44 | $26.40 |
| 06-05 05:28 | Will USD/KRW hit 1600 (High) in 2026? | BUY | 0.37 | $3.70 |
| 06-05 05:13 | Will USD/KRW hit 1600 (High) in 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $3.60 |
| 06-05 03:03 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 5? | BUY | 0.37 | $18.50 |
| 06-03 09:00 | Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | SELL | 0.1181058631 | $206.17 |
| 05-28 16:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | SELL | 0.31 | $6.74 |
| 05-28 16:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | BUY | 0.2299999692 | $5.00 |
| 05-28 15:12 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $208 in May? | BUY | 0.38 | $38.00 |
| 05-28 15:10 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $208 in May? | SELL | 0.62 | $61.80 |