PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xba6cd5a3305c8dfd359b821c9aa8b8395800ecee

0xba6cd5a3305c8dfd359b821c9aa8b8395800ecee

Realised P&L
$-3.40
Volume
$242.31
Markets traded
56
Open portfolio
$6.89

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded56
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No0.7400.993$2.70+$0.69
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? · Yes0.7700.997$2.59+$0.59
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 Week of September 21 2026? · No0.4600.370$1.61$0.39

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 23:46Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.4599999034$2.00
09-19 13:22Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?BUY0.3399999966$2.00
09-19 05:07Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.3299999489$2.00
09-18 20:59Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.7399999186$2.00
09-17 10:27Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.2799999664$2.00
09-17 00:49Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?BUY0.77$2.00
09-15 04:46Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.219999978$2.00
09-13 20:31Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.3299999489$2.00
09-13 10:55Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.71$2.00
09-12 20:19Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.2299999782$2.00
09-09 08:43Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?BUY0.3599999712$2.00
09-08 23:37Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?BUY0.4499999438$2.00
09-08 15:33Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,550 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.77$2.00
09-08 06:27Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?BUY0.75$2.00
09-07 21:50Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?BUY0.5199999792$2.00