0xba6cd5a3305c8dfd359b821c9aa8b8395800ecee
0xba6cd5a3305c8dfd359b821c9aa8b8395800ecee
- Realised P&L
- $-3.40
- Volume
- $242.31
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $6.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No | 0.740 | 0.993 | $2.70 | +$0.69 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.997 | $2.59 | +$0.59 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.460 | 0.370 | $1.61 | −$0.39 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.14at 0.280US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$5.07at 0.290Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
- +$3.20at 0.392Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$2.99at 0.632Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
- +$2.50at 0.450Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 23:46 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4599999034 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 13:22 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 05:07 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299999489 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 20:59 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999186 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 10:27 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 00:49 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 04:46 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 20:31 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299999489 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 10:55 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 20:19 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999782 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 08:43 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 23:37 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999438 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 15:33 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,550 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 06:27 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 21:50 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $2.00 |