aa33bb44
0xba4b1b36dd341cda9420bef0d9eda3ebcef36628
- Realised P&L
- $-8.81
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $290.91
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration72.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.334 | 0.350 | $209.49 | +$9.49 |
| Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.175 | 0.170 | $34.07 | −$0.93 |
| Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? · Yes | 0.164 | 0.270 | $30.47 | +$11.97 |
| Will the Student List win less than 30% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.264 | 0.048 | $16.88 | −$76.81 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 00:23 | Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? | BUY | 0.1639361143 | $18.50 |
| 09-30 00:20 | Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.1746632493 | $35.00 |
| 09-30 00:16 | Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.334139198 | $200.00 |
| 09-29 23:28 | Will the Student List win less than 30% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2636880401 | $93.69 |
| 09-29 23:04 | Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.07 | $7.19 |
| 09-29 22:48 | Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.15 | $9.78 |