b1r1nc1
0xba44ad0919ad018d2afb84f156d5c8888c0f9d29
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $392.1k
- Markets traded
- 4,187
- Open portfolio
- $0.01
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,187
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration50.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 9? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$5.69 |
| Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on October 9? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$6.00 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C or below on October 9? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.40 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on October 9? · No | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.60 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 7°C on October 9? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.05 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 5°C or below on October 9? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$164.30at 0.446Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
- +$156.43at 0.276Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
- +$134.37at 0.328Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
- +$129.00at 0.010Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
- +$123.16at 0.249Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.85 | $17.00 |
| 10-09 06:52 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.55 |
| 10-09 06:52 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on October 8? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 10-09 06:52 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.999 | $31.88 |
| 10-09 04:37 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 9? | SELL | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 10-09 04:37 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.485 | $4.85 |
| 10-08 22:38 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.9399999994 | $30.00 |
| 10-08 22:25 | Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.743 | $14.86 |
| 10-08 22:24 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 10-08 22:24 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on October 9? | SELL | 0.16 | $3.20 |
| 10-08 22:23 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 9? | SELL | 0.16 | $3.20 |
| 10-08 22:22 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 9? | SELL | 0.85 | $5.21 |
| 10-08 22:21 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on October 9? | SELL | 0.42 | $8.40 |
| 10-08 22:16 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.16 | $3.20 |
| 10-08 22:09 | Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 4°C or below on October 9? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.41 |