hooly0777
0xba43c977413b9b9438d340103bf62f82aae69eda
- Realised P&L
- $-69.97
- Volume
- $56.1k
- Markets traded
- 128
- Open portfolio
- $2.88
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded128
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 1? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.015 | $1.80 | −$2.55 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on October 1? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.001 | $0.61 | −$0.50 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 1? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.002 | $0.48 | −$1.24 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $89,000 on September 29? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.64 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $130 on September 29? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on September 29? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.30 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 on September 29? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.94 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on September 29? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,900 on September 29? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.04 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 29? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.40 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.83at 0.010US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
- +$17.36at 0.030Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 29, 2026?
- +$13.18at 0.060Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 28, 2026?
- +$11.53at 0.050Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?
- +$10.39at 0.040Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 06:20 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 06:20 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 06-02 12:14 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.009 | $9.00 |
| 06-02 12:05 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 2? | SELL | 0.0088473333 | $0.27 |
| 06-01 21:41 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.40 |
| 05-12 14:23 | Will Trump visit China by May 15? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.02 |
| 05-08 19:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 8? | SELL | 0.014 | $1.40 |
| 05-05 13:16 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 5? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.20 |
| 05-01 14:27 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 2? | BUY | 0.0104914782 | $1.00 |
| 05-01 14:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 2? | BUY | 0.0329999684 | $1.00 |
| 05-01 14:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 2? | BUY | 0.024 | $1.40 |
| 04-30 15:05 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 04-19 02:52 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.0194301525 | $1.00 |
| 04-14 23:40 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | SELL | 0.036 | $3.60 |
| 04-14 22:38 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | SELL | 0.163 | $11.41 |