PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

hooly0777

0xba43c977413b9b9438d340103bf62f82aae69eda

Realised P&L
$-69.97
Volume
$56.1k
Markets traded
128
Open portfolio
$2.88

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded128
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration72.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 1? · Yes0.0360.015$1.80−$2.55
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on October 1? · Yes0.0020.001$0.61−$0.50
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 1? · Yes0.0050.002$0.48−$1.24
Will Bitcoin reach $89,000 on September 29? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$0.64
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on September 29? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on September 29? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$3.30
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 on September 29? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$0.94
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on September 29? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Ethereum reach $2,900 on September 29? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$0.04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 29? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$0.40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00−$4.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 06:20Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on October 1?BUY0.002$1.00
10-01 06:20Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on October 1?BUY0.001$0.01
06-02 12:14MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?SELL0.009$9.00
06-02 12:05Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 2?SELL0.0088473333$0.27
06-01 21:41MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.007$1.40
05-12 14:23Will Trump visit China by May 15?BUY0.006$1.02
05-08 19:57Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 8?SELL0.014$1.40
05-05 13:16Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 5?SELL0.001$0.20
05-01 14:27Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 2?BUY0.0104914782$1.00
05-01 14:25Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 2?BUY0.0329999684$1.00
05-01 14:25Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 2?BUY0.024$1.40
04-30 15:05US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?BUY0.004$1.00
04-19 02:52US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?BUY0.0194301525$1.00
04-14 23:40Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?SELL0.036$3.60
04-14 22:38Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?SELL0.163$11.41