0xBA3f2b1c99e0E8da962AcF49f5610d9Ba7E77481-1761550867719
0xba3f2b1c99e0e8da962acf49f5610d9ba7e77481
- Realised P&L
- $-97.63
- Volume
- $45.2k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $182.76
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes | 0.261 | 0.961 | $170.01 | +$123.81 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.085 | $12.75 | −$39.75 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31? · No | 0.902 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$36.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$108.80at 0.620Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?
- +$87.50at 0.650Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
- +$-341.91at 0.630Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 06:12 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31? | BUY | 0.902 | $36.08 |
| 04-29 02:04 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.261 | $46.20 |
| 04-28 07:45 | Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $52.50 |
| 11-17 03:06 | Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025? | BUY | 0.62 | $6.7k |
| 11-17 02:14 | Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.6 | $6.8k |
| 11-14 07:15 | Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.63 | $7.2k |
| 10-29 02:35 | Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | BUY | 0.65 | $162.50 |