0xBA3457Ad33022829DC81eCA7A803cECbbC24f1E0-1775252951175
0xba3457ad33022829dc81eca7a803cecbbc24f1e0
- Realised P&L
- $241.13
- Volume
- $14.3k
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $133.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$133.63at 0.696UK Cabinet Minister resigns by June 30, 2026?
- +$108.69at 0.192Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
- +$100.78at 0.338Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$44.17at 0.214Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
- +$33.33at 0.133Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-03 06:28 | Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0997808648 | $63.06 |
| 08-15 14:53 | Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999955 | $25.00 |
| 08-06 15:13 | Will UEFA end its FIFA boycott by August 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $13.50 |
| 08-04 19:27 | Will UEFA end its FIFA boycott by August 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.1567426667 | $70.53 |
| 08-01 16:18 | Russia coup attempt in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $8.00 |
| 08-01 04:09 | Will UEFA end its FIFA boycott by August 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $30.00 |
| 08-01 04:06 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | SELL | 0.23 | $14.38 |
| 08-01 04:05 | Will UEFA end its FIFA boycott by August 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $30.00 |
| 07-31 11:46 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.4 | $25.00 |
| 07-23 20:33 | Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999968 | $50.00 |
| 07-23 14:28 | Will there be exactly 8 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999902 | $10.00 |
| 07-23 14:28 | Will there be exactly 7 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999902 | $15.00 |
| 07-23 14:28 | Will there be exactly 9 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? | BUY | 0.0429999803 | $2.00 |
| 07-23 14:28 | Will there be at least 10 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? | BUY | 0.0177560762 | $2.00 |
| 07-11 20:44 | Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England? | BUY | 0.12 | $15.00 |