PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xBA3457Ad33022829DC81eCA7A803cECbbC24f1E0-1775252951175

0xba3457ad33022829dc81eca7a803cecbbc24f1e0

Realised P&L
$202.56
Volume
$14.3k
Markets traded
56
Open portfolio
$133.31

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded56
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0500.124$62.00+$37.00
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.5300.795$37.50+$12.50
Will there be exactly 7 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? · Yes0.2100.250$17.86+$2.86
Will there be exactly 8 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? · Yes0.1300.053$4.08−$5.92
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.4600.085$3.70−$16.30
Russia coup attempt in 2026? · Yes0.0800.033$3.25−$4.75
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.017$2.43−$17.57
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1400.037$1.34−$3.66
Will there be at least 10 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? · Yes0.0180.006$0.68−$1.32
Will there be exactly 9 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? · Yes0.0430.011$0.49−$1.51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00−$9.75
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1820.000$0.00−$20.00
Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$5.00
England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score · No0.5100.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Bridget Phillipson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$6.57

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-03 06:28Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0997808648$63.06
08-15 14:53Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1499999955$25.00
08-06 15:13Will UEFA end its FIFA boycott by August 10, 2026?SELL0.09$13.50
08-04 19:27Will UEFA end its FIFA boycott by August 10, 2026?SELL0.1567426667$70.53
08-01 16:18Russia coup attempt in 2026?BUY0.08$8.00
08-01 04:09Will UEFA end its FIFA boycott by August 10, 2026?BUY0.1$30.00
08-01 04:06Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?SELL0.23$14.38
08-01 04:05Will UEFA end its FIFA boycott by August 10, 2026?BUY0.1$30.00
07-31 11:46Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.4$25.00
07-23 20:33Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2099999968$50.00
07-23 14:28Will there be exactly 8 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?BUY0.1299999902$10.00
07-23 14:28Will there be exactly 7 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?BUY0.2099999902$15.00
07-23 14:28Will there be exactly 9 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?BUY0.0429999803$2.00
07-23 14:28Will there be at least 10 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?BUY0.0177560762$2.00
07-11 20:44Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?BUY0.12$15.00