PolyBot

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Traders

0xba31ed76726b1b57b3dc8b5e248bb7071d87cd61

0xba31ed76726b1b57b3dc8b5e248bb7071d87cd61

Realised P&L
$4.84
Volume
$83.40
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$13.57

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration59.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 9, 2026? · Yes0.9500.966$5.10+$0.08
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 8, 2026? · Yes0.9701.000$4.69+$0.14
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 12, 2026? · Yes0.9600.905$3.77−$0.23

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 07:40Will Russia target Kyiv on October 9, 2026?BUY0.9499999148$5.02
10-06 10:43Will Russia target Kyiv on October 8, 2026?BUY0.97$4.55
10-06 10:43Will Russia target Kyiv on October 7, 2026?BUY0.99$5.00
10-05 18:33Will Russia target Kyiv on October 6, 2026?BUY0.9379999968$2.96
10-05 18:33Will Russia target Kyiv on October 6, 2026?BUY0.9379999986$4.00
10-03 09:42Will Russia target Kyiv on October 5, 2026?BUY0.9199999816$2.00
10-03 09:42Will Russia target Kyiv on October 4, 2026?BUY0.9389999991$2.00
10-03 09:42Will Russia target Kyiv on October 12, 2026?BUY0.96$2.00
10-03 09:41Will Russia target Kyiv on October 12, 2026?BUY0.96$2.00
10-03 09:41Will Russia target Kyiv on October 4, 2026?BUY0.9389999991$2.00
10-03 09:41Will Russia target Kyiv on October 4, 2026?BUY0.9389999991$2.00
06-25 16:23Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY0.985999999$2.00
06-25 16:22Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?SELL0.509$1.77
06-19 04:01Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?BUY0.2869998413$1.00
06-15 08:39Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1619998775$1.00