swseee
0xba299348554af1eb24de1c0b0daabe2cf34fe5c5
- Realised P&L
- $-25.12
- Volume
- $8.2k
- Markets traded
- 91
- Open portfolio
- $16.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded91
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.47at 0.587Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?
- +$9.94at 0.480Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
- +$7.23at 0.300Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?
- +$6.54at 0.370Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 20?
- +$5.72at 0.130Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 23:58 | Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0582035914 | $1.62 |
| 09-27 23:52 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.019 | $0.38 |
| 09-27 23:52 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.60 |
| 09-27 23:52 | Will XXXTentacion be featured on GTA VI: The Album? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 23:52 | Will Osamason be featured on GTA VI: The Album? | BUY | 0.419999979 | $2.00 |
| 09-27 23:46 | Will Playboi Carti be featured on GTA VI: The Album? | BUY | 0.3299999934 | $11.00 |
| 06-10 05:42 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 06-03 23:46 | Will Frank Ocean release a new song in 2026? | BUY | 0.3513794459 | $3.00 |
| 06-03 23:46 | Will Frank Ocean release an album in 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 05-16 20:40 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.0359999663 | $1.00 |
| 05-16 17:08 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 05-16 17:08 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 05-16 17:07 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.3289998526 | $1.00 |
| 05-16 17:03 | Will Czechia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.048999954 | $1.00 |
| 05-16 17:02 | Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | BUY | 0.6699999839 | $10.00 |