0xba222e7d66ec9614a25472827a52cdccab694333
- Realised P&L
- $-130.75
- Volume
- $13.6k
- Markets traded
- 376
- Open portfolio
- $44.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded376
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$49.84at 0.166Valencia: Dusan Lajovic vs Daniel Altmaier
- +$34.90at 0.189Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?
- +$14.78at 0.107Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?
- +$8.60at 0.163Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
- +$7.64at 0.519Will Solana dip to $80 in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-22 03:01 | Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.55 |
| 05-22 02:50 | Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.55 |
| 05-22 01:59 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.29 | $1.45 |
| 05-21 21:55 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 05-21 16:36 | Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 05-21 12:57 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 05-21 07:12 | Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33? | SELL | 0.84 | $4.20 |
| 05-20 19:05 | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 05-20 18:55 | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 05-20 14:54 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May? | SELL | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 05-20 14:51 | Will Hull City AFC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.841 | $4.21 |
| 05-20 14:32 | Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m? | SELL | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 05-20 14:20 | Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m? | SELL | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 05-20 13:53 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May? | SELL | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 05-20 13:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21? | SELL | 0.39 | $1.95 |