Smithio
0xba19733032581096ae0e521550145d29d2bb2d4e
- Realised P&L
- $0.00
- Volume
- $75.76
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $1.47
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration52.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.085 | $0.77 | −$0.23 |
| France declares state of siege (martial law) by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.011 | $0.70 | −$0.30 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 21:46 | Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 21:45 | France declares state of siege (martial law) by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0149999999 | $1.00 |