eunice-561
0xba169137788e4f1b86d2d22a45986191d86ae4c4
- Realised P&L
- $-109.3k
- Volume
- $3.10M
- Markets traded
- 117
- Open portfolio
- $3.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded117
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blue tsunami in 2026? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.685 | $3.1k | +$478.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.3kat 0.502Will Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election?
- +$23.9kat 0.774GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?
- +$12.7kat 0.811Trump wins every swing state?
- +$8.9kat 0.457Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
- +$6.7kat 0.727Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12-08 03:56 | Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024? | SELL | 0.0054162257 | $324.97 |
| 12-07 09:10 | South Korean President impeached in 2024? | SELL | 0.17 | $170.00 |
| 12-07 09:07 | South Korean President impeached in 2024? | SELL | 0.17 | $105.41 |
| 12-06 21:01 | Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024? | BUY | 0.5098210462 | $1.7k |
| 12-06 21:00 | South Korean Dem Party leader arrested by Friday? | SELL | 0.985504164 | $1.5k |
| 12-06 20:56 | Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024? | BUY | 0.5196125 | $1.0k |
| 12-06 20:53 | South Korean People’s Power leader arrested by Friday? | SELL | 0.9901661189 | $3.6k |
| 12-06 20:22 | South Korean Dem Party leader arrested by Friday? | SELL | 0.990647996 | $2.5k |
| 12-06 04:44 | South Korean President impeached by Friday? | BUY | 0.14 | $42.00 |
| 12-06 04:43 | South Korean President impeached by Friday? | BUY | 0.108964834 | $512.13 |
| 12-06 04:36 | South Korean President impeached by Friday? | BUY | 0.1416890955 | $140.98 |
| 12-06 04:34 | South Korean President impeached by Friday? | BUY | 0.140647912 | $351.62 |
| 12-06 02:47 | South Korean President impeached by Friday? | BUY | 0.2437968467 | $47.16 |
| 12-06 02:31 | South Korean President impeached by Friday? | BUY | 0.2690217628 | $1.2k |
| 12-06 02:26 | South Korean President impeached by Friday? | BUY | 0.243103634 | $1.2k |