PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

NostraMus

0xba0f2eee2024a872b2ba2fa8792bb241d455ce35

Realised P&L
$383.16
Volume
$140.3k
Markets traded
102
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded102
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October? · No0.8600.905$494.13+$24.57
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? · No0.5500.605$332.75+$30.25
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in October? · No0.2890.285$297.82−$4.17
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 5-11? · Yes0.0690.051$15.15−$5.55
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in October? · No0.5600.575$8.05+$0.21
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July? · No0.3750.000$0.00−$75.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 3? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00−$22.66
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on September 27? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00−$17.10
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 2? · No0.4500.000$0.00−$50.00
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) · Conor McGregor0.2900.000$0.00−$29.00
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 September 14-20? · No0.3260.000$0.00−$15.31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 3? · Yes0.0390.000$0.00−$40.69
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on August 28? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00−$4.80
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on August 25? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$16.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 25? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00−$30.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 06:21Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 5-11?BUY0.069$20.70
10-10 05:18Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in October?BUY0.29$58.00
10-10 05:17Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in October?BUY0.29$58.00
10-10 05:16Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in October?BUY0.29$58.00
10-10 05:05Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in October?BUY0.56$7.84
10-10 04:56Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in October?BUY0.28$29.40
10-09 07:50Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?SELL0.91$504.14
10-09 07:48Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?SELL0.74$873.20
10-09 05:05Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in October?BUY0.29$98.60
10-09 04:38Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?BUY0.55$302.50
10-08 18:22Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?BUY0.86$946.00
10-08 18:14Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?BUY0.58$179.80
10-08 18:12Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?BUY0.58$504.60
10-08 00:56Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 October 5-11?BUY0.067$13.40
10-08 00:55Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 October 5-11?BUY0.068$13.60