PolyBot

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Traders

kiann99

0xba0dc6424ec1a79125978e9c65770d8f0e28d084

Realised P&L
$-329.76
Volume
$10.2k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$16.08

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration98.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)13.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.002$8.58$36.42
US forces enter Iran by December 31? · Yes0.6601.000$7.50+$2.55
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$26.02
Will PAP win less than 75 seats in the Singapore election? · Yes0.0990.000$0.00$30.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-01 11:11US forces enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.66$4.95
04-01 11:10US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?SELL0.37$2.10
04-01 11:10US forces enter Iran by April 30?SELL0.44$2.82
03-26 12:52US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.3899999298$2.50
03-26 12:52US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?BUY0.4399999155$2.50
03-25 13:41Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?BUY0.12$9.99
03-25 13:40Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?BUY0.1199999899$10.00
03-25 13:36Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?BUY0.12$6.03
03-22 04:24Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.0078655532$45.00
04-24 10:48Will PAP win less than 75 seats in the Singapore election?BUY0.0990916598$30.00
12-24 16:07Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?BUY0.1199999964$28.03
12-24 16:01Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?SELL0.57$28.03
12-20 02:33Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by March 31?BUY0.2683486194$39.00
12-20 02:31Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2024?SELL0.0665279174$38.26
12-20 02:31Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2024?SELL0.074$0.74