PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

kaese

0xba0d056cd6966f1b8608cc79040d4e0c10191fd0

Realised P&L
$151.49
Volume
$149.2k
Markets traded
280
Open portfolio
$50.16

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded280
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-27 00:55Will Dejan Bodiroga be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?SELL0.023$7.48
10-26 10:43Will Dejan Bodiroga be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?BUY0.016$4.68
10-26 10:04Will Dejan Bodiroga be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?BUY0.015$0.26
10-26 08:43Will Zoran Stojiljković be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?BUY0.004$1.20
10-26 01:01Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?SELL0.24$13.68
10-26 01:00Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?BUY0.005$0.42
10-26 00:59Will Ivica Dačić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?BUY0.002$1.00
10-26 00:59Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?BUY0.002$1.00
10-26 00:59Will Stefan Krkobabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?BUY0.002$1.00
10-26 00:59Will Miloš Vučević be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?BUY0.001$1.00
10-26 00:59Will Đuro Macut be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?BUY0.001$1.00
10-26 00:59Will Branimir Jovanović be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?BUY0.001$1.00
10-26 00:59Will Dragan Đilas be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?BUY0.001$1.01
10-26 00:58Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?SELL0.4$20.00
10-25 21:34US strike on Cuba by December 31?SELL0.09$4.50