PolyBot

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Traders

fleeth

0xba0d049aa32383efdcb1b5e6535dcd984c369a6e

Realised P&L
$-17.7k
Volume
$955.3k
Markets traded
1,048
Open portfolio
$141.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,048
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.7720.795$59.6k+$1.7k
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.6350.515$25.7k$6.0k
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.9030.925$23.1k+$548.76
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.9240.955$9.6k+$313.02
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.792$7.1k+$2.6k
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.8800.555$2.8k$1.6k
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? · Yes0.8450.887$1.9k+$90.50
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.9300.945$1.9k+$30.00
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.207$1.9k$2.6k
Will Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.8670.910$1.8k+$86.87
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.9120.795$1.6k$234.62
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.6750.285$1.1k$1.6k
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.9440.969$969.00+$24.70
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9120.944$943.50+$31.59
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.9110.655$654.72$256.33

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 12:30Will Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027?BUY0.9227$92.27
08-04 12:30Will Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027?BUY0.91238$45.62
08-04 12:26LoL: TLN Pirates vs Solary (BO1) - LFL Regular SeasonBUY0.24$31.20
08-04 12:25Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore OriolesBUY0.58$136.30
08-04 07:11Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta BravesBUY0.57$131.10
08-04 07:08Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle MarinersBUY0.43$74.82
08-04 01:34Will Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027?BUY0.8599857143$301.00
08-03 14:50Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?BUY0.889$22.23
08-03 07:53Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?BUY0.8841408$66.31
08-03 01:32Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?BUY0.888$22.20
08-03 01:31Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?BUY0.879931$44.00
07-30 15:06GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.975$195.00
07-30 12:06GRVT FDV above $150M one day after launch?BUY0.9859274$492.96
07-30 12:05GRVT FDV above $150M one day after launch?BUY0.9694326667$1.5k
07-30 12:04GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.989838338$4.9k