sssoo
0xba0ca2bbc804882522d746ef2ba8507bea2fd35b
- Realised P&L
- $-68.96
- Volume
- $40.3k
- Markets traded
- 99
- Open portfolio
- $73.45
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded99
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration96.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.695 | $69.50 | +$0.50 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.040 | $3.95 | −$11.05 |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on May 2? · Yes | 0.934 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$46.70 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.132 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.20 |
| Will the government shutdown end November 21 or later? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Trump approval Up or Down this week? · Up | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 2? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.15 |
| Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 30? · Down | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$71.40at 0.286Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$30.00at 0.500Bill Clinton charged by January 31?
- +$18.57at 0.350$PENGU market cap (FDV) $2-4b one day after launch?
- +$15.00at 0.500Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by February 28, 2025?
- +$15.00at 0.500Base airdrop in Q1 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 02:06 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.69 | $69.00 |
| 06-30 13:32 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.28 | $28.00 |
| 05-03 10:11 | Will USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by May 31? | SELL | 0.3 | $6.00 |
| 05-03 10:06 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $6.00 |
| 05-03 09:57 | Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by May 31? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.42 |
| 05-03 09:52 | Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by May 31? | SELL | 0.18 | $3.15 |
| 05-03 09:52 | Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $7.00 |
| 05-03 09:52 | Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May? | SELL | 0.66 | $13.20 |
| 05-03 09:52 | Sharjah announces secession from UAE by May 31? | SELL | 0.962 | $48.10 |
| 05-03 09:28 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $44.00 |
| 05-03 09:11 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.184952 | $9.25 |
| 05-03 09:04 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $11.50 |
| 05-03 09:01 | Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.80 |
| 05-03 08:57 | Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in May 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 05-03 08:57 | Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in May 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.20 |