ZOD4200
0xba09b9ed618aa67f9fcc6d5662ccdb020f38a447
- Realised P&L
- $22.23
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $0.54
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump deport 700-800k people? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.014 | $0.54 | −$0.46 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Trump out as President by March 31? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by February 28? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.23at 0.031US strikes Iraq by February 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-04 19:51 | US strikes Iraq by February 28? | SELL | 0.999 | $32.22 |
| 02-23 09:52 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by February 28? | BUY | 0.033999968 | $1.00 |
| 02-23 09:51 | Trump out as President by March 31? | BUY | 0.0279999733 | $1.00 |
| 02-23 09:51 | US strikes Iraq by February 28? | BUY | 0.0309999705 | $1.00 |
| 02-23 09:50 | Will Trump deport 700-800k people? | BUY | 0.0257214124 | $1.00 |
| 02-23 09:49 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0299999712 | $1.00 |
| 02-23 09:49 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0060000001 | $1.00 |
| 02-23 09:48 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.00 |
| 02-23 09:48 | Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.0299999712 | $1.00 |
| 02-23 09:48 | Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0179999825 | $1.00 |
| 02-23 09:45 | Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 02-23 09:45 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.025 | $1.00 |