PolyBot

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Traders

ZOD4200

0xba09b9ed618aa67f9fcc6d5662ccdb020f38a447

Realised P&L
$22.23
Volume
$1.6k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$0.54

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump deport 700-800k people? · Yes0.0260.014$0.54−$0.46
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00−$1.00
Trump out as President by March 31? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00−$1.00
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00−$1.00
Trump declassifies new UFO files by February 28? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-04 19:51US strikes Iraq by February 28?SELL0.999$32.22
02-23 09:52Trump declassifies new UFO files by February 28?BUY0.033999968$1.00
02-23 09:51Trump out as President by March 31?BUY0.0279999733$1.00
02-23 09:51US strikes Iraq by February 28?BUY0.0309999705$1.00
02-23 09:50Will Trump deport 700-800k people?BUY0.0257214124$1.00
02-23 09:49Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.0299999712$1.00
02-23 09:49Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.0060000001$1.00
02-23 09:48Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.007$1.00
02-23 09:48Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?BUY0.0299999712$1.00
02-23 09:48Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?BUY0.0179999825$1.00
02-23 09:45Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?BUY0.001$1.00
02-23 09:45Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?BUY0.025$1.00