PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

zarki44

0xb9f43e2b735ccea2a60cba54ddf8850b163292ae

Realised P&L
$-3.66
Volume
$2.6k
Markets traded
93
Open portfolio
$407.49

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded93
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 20? · No0.9840.994$25.24+$0.24
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 20? · No0.9880.997$25.19+$0.20
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on October 20? · No0.9860.992$25.13+$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 18? · No0.9850.989$25.10+$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 18? · No0.9870.991$25.09+$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C or below on October 20? · No0.9880.987$24.96−$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20? · No0.9890.865$21.87−$3.13
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on October 19? · No0.4500.996$19.91+$10.91
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 20? · No0.9670.987$19.74+$0.40
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 19? · No0.5401.000$19.67+$9.04
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 20? · No0.5200.735$14.70+$4.30
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C on October 19? · Yes0.3700.988$12.84+$8.03
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 21? · No0.4400.565$11.30+$2.50
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 21? · No0.5000.540$10.80+$0.80
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 20? · No0.4300.515$10.30+$1.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 10:42Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 20?BUY0.988999999$10.17
10-20 10:36Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 20?BUY0.988$14.82
10-20 07:26Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C or below on October 20?BUY0.9881700901$15.11
10-20 06:55Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C or below on October 20?BUY0.989$9.89
10-20 06:42Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 20?BUY0.984$25.00
10-20 06:02Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 20?BUY0.967$19.34
10-20 05:26Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on October 20?BUY0.9839999995$15.12
10-20 05:09Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on October 20?BUY0.9879999094$9.86
10-20 00:31Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?BUY0.989$25.00
10-19 07:04Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 19?BUY0.4549966872$25.00
10-19 04:11Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 19?BUY0.9799999647$25.00
10-18 16:19Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18?BUY0.8996070516$25.00
10-18 10:07Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18?BUY0.992$25.00
10-18 09:21Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 18?BUY0.9849999996$25.00
10-18 09:21Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 18?BUY0.9869999996$25.00