kyle24
0xb9f3c1b6520b97248f98332b0f78f8317f9d7cb2
- Realised P&L
- $-34.84
- Volume
- $12.2k
- Markets traded
- 86
- Open portfolio
- $22.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded86
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lula win 44% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No | 0.520 | 0.400 | $12.13 | −$3.64 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.620 | $10.33 | −$1.67 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.71at 0.542Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles
- +$13.30at 0.590Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago White Sox
- +$10.28at 0.520Spread: Eagles (-3.5)
- +$10.26at 0.542Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 27?
- +$9.13at 0.670Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 09:26 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.5299999844 | $11.88 |
| 09-23 09:00 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.5299999881 | $20.52 |
| 01-31 14:05 | Will Ethena hit $0.29 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.50 |
| 01-31 13:41 | Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.984 | $12.17 |
| 01-30 14:35 | Will Chainlink hit $19 in January? | BUY | 0.995 | $6.36 |
| 01-30 14:15 | Will Chainlink dip to $6 in January? | BUY | 0.995 | $20.06 |
| 01-30 13:21 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January? | BUY | 0.9939999999 | $56.38 |
| 12-30 16:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.27 |
| 12-30 16:04 | Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.66 |
| 12-30 09:35 | US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.36 |
| 12-29 22:34 | Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $40.82 |
| 12-29 22:05 | Will Trump pardon Young Thug in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $22.95 |
| 10-31 16:16 | Will Solana dip to $150 in October? | BUY | 0.9989999499 | $13.32 |
| 10-31 15:00 | Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October? | BUY | 0.998 | $18.15 |
| 10-30 17:55 | Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October? | BUY | 0.9929999999 | $28.01 |