oculus969
0xb9f17bdf28c973cc95f719f1f96370d0b6860096
- Realised P&L
- $-4.62
- Volume
- $77.78
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $3.36
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No | 0.460 | 0.635 | $1.38 | +$0.38 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 12% and 14%? · Yes | 0.091 | 0.102 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
| Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? · No | 0.140 | 0.095 | $0.68 | −$0.32 |
| GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.077 | $0.19 | −$0.81 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? · Yes | 0.172 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? · No | 0.226 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April? · No | 0.065 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.51at 0.399Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
- +$0.88at 0.660Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-11 10:58 | Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 12% and 14%? | BUY | 0.0913785445 | $1.00 |
| 08-11 10:54 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.4599997608 | $1.00 |
| 04-14 09:16 | Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | BUY | 0.2259998639 | $1.00 |
| 04-14 09:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April? | BUY | 0.0608695096 | $0.86 |
| 04-08 08:22 | GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 03-27 15:25 | Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 03-26 09:10 | Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.6599998835 | $1.70 |
| 03-26 09:09 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | BUY | 0.3989998659 | $1.00 |
| 03-26 09:01 | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.1723935755 | $4.00 |
| 03-26 09:01 | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |