0xB9F11A71b90b030D91F9a37F7fA8D514Ac97a6a0-1769192572771
0xb9f11a71b90b030d91f9a37f7fa8d514ac97a6a0
- Realised P&L
- $674.41
- Volume
- $504.6k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $7.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.413 | 0.195 | $7.2k | −$8.0k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.571US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
- +$1.8kat 0.526US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
- +$1.6kat 0.610Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
- +$1.0kat 0.750US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
- +$761.83at 0.509US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 11:22 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $48.00 |
| 09-28 11:22 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $132.00 |
| 09-13 09:11 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.36 | $2.5k |
| 09-10 06:17 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.31 | $3.59 |
| 09-07 09:12 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.9k |
| 09-04 16:30 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $4.20 |
| 09-04 13:11 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.4641449196 | $4.2k |
| 08-28 19:55 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5 | $25.57 |
| 08-28 19:54 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5 | $4.5k |
| 07-06 05:54 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.47 | $244.40 |
| 07-06 05:54 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.46 | $18.40 |
| 07-06 05:54 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.45 | $11.25 |
| 07-05 17:52 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $19.60 |
| 07-05 17:52 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $13.84 |
| 07-05 17:52 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.47 | $182.28 |