PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xb9dCCE8e0161605bed7fFBe887f799ebD75597Cd-1772850131092

0xb9dcce8e0161605bed7ffbe887f799ebd75597cd

Realised P&L
$-10.12
Volume
$19.4k
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$0.68

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lighter reach $15 before 2027? · Yes0.0490.033$0.68−$0.33
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Toledo Rockets · Massachusetts Minutemen0.4020.000$0.00−$4.59
76ers vs. Knicks · 76ers0.2900.000$0.00−$2.87
Knicks vs. Spurs · Spurs0.6500.000$0.00−$1.16
Knicks vs. Clippers · Knicks0.5590.000$0.00−$3.78
Rockets vs. Lakers · Lakers0.6300.000$0.00−$2.45
Knicks vs. Spurs · Spurs0.6600.000$0.00−$2.01
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles · Baltimore Orioles0.5500.000$0.00−$1.21
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers · Los Angeles Dodgers0.6200.000$0.00−$1.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-01 06:33Will Lighter reach $15 before 2027?BUY0.048999956$1.01
08-16 06:32Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles DodgersBUY0.6199998917$1.03
07-08 10:14UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)BUY0.3399998867$1.20
06-14 09:16San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore OriolesBUY0.55$1.21
06-11 10:15Knicks vs. SpursBUY0.649999944$1.16
06-04 13:34Knicks vs. SpursBUY0.6599998949$2.01
05-05 13:1076ers vs. KnicksBUY0.2899999495$2.87
04-29 11:46Rockets vs. LakersBUY0.6299999537$2.45
04-12 15:10Utah vs. FlamesBUY0.4099999277$3.12
04-12 15:06Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.986$12.60
04-01 15:50Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.99$12.66
03-16 04:06Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?SELL0.01$1.02
03-16 04:06Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.983$991.35
03-13 08:44Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.983$991.35
03-13 08:43Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?BUY0.0110000002$1.12