0xb9d9f7df8810cdb869d8881b7f7a64dc446e9b91
- Realised P&L
- $-17.56
- Volume
- $162.41
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $47.59
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration47.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.860 | $23.88 | +$3.89 |
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.969 | $23.71 | +$0.71 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.15at 0.956Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?
- +$0.91at 0.917Will France win on 2026-06-22?
- +$0.20at 0.981Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?
- +$0.14at 0.994Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
- +$-25.37at 0.680Will England win on 2026-06-23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-18 18:38 | Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.9889999997 | $25.03 |
| 06-23 21:05 | Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.9499999772 | $25.00 |
| 06-23 21:04 | Will England win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.6699999973 | $25.00 |
| 06-22 01:53 | Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? | BUY | 0.9399999608 | $23.00 |
| 06-22 01:45 | Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.975 | $10.00 |
| 06-22 01:44 | Will France win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.91 | $10.00 |
| 06-22 01:41 | Will Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections? | BUY | 0.7199999928 | $19.99 |