a321321
0xb9c398c3b5fad52d235a8a8955a8378da93a32a1
- Realised P&L
- $-29.85
- Volume
- $36.0k
- Markets traded
- 139
- Open portfolio
- $1.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded139
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 September 28-October 4? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.009 | $1.78 | −$0.52 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET · Up | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.25 |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$238.00 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Yes | 0.312 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Spread: IK Sirius (-1.5) · IK Sirius | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET · Up | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 3PM ET · Up | 0.028 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-13.5) · Minnesota Lynx | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$75.00 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$882.00 |
| Vasteraas SK vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$75.00 |
| Will FC Seoul win on 2026-07-12? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$75.00 |
| Will IFK Goteborg win on 2026-07-17? · No | 0.378 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Spread: Atlanta Dream (-7.5) · Los Angeles Sparks | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$75.00 |
| Spread: PFK CSKA Sofia (-1.5) · PFK CSKA Sofia | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$674.86at 0.474Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?
- +$527.57at 0.367Spread: Egypt (-1.5)
- +$295.01at 0.508Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5
- +$272.60at 0.527Spread: England (-1.5)
- +$269.04at 0.614Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 04:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.0109761388 | $2.30 |
| 09-14 05:49 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.75 |
| 09-14 05:48 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2099999999 | $189.32 |
| 08-01 16:18 | Will Lyngby BK win on 2026-08-01? | BUY | 0.359999995 | $28.86 |
| 07-31 14:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.189999988 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 14:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | BUY | 0.8799999961 | $18.00 |
| 07-31 14:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | BUY | 0.4899999978 | $18.00 |
| 07-31 14:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET | SELL | 0.23 | $6.90 |
| 07-31 14:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.8177104096 | $100.00 |
| 07-31 14:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BUY | 0.5799999871 | $18.00 |
| 07-31 10:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 6AM ET | BUY | 0.91 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 10:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 6AM ET | BUY | 0.4799999827 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 10:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5AM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $26.76 |
| 07-31 09:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.579999994 | $15.54 |
| 07-24 20:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.479999988 | $8.00 |