0xb9be37b3a713c15c6a5cc3ff890fef8bf39f16f2
0xb9be37b3a713c15c6a5cc3ff890fef8bf39f16f2
- Realised P&L
- $-5.46
- Volume
- $168.80
- Markets traded
- 98
- Open portfolio
- $6.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded98
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5? · Yes | 0.326 | 0.600 | $1.84 | +$0.84 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.390 | $1.22 | +$0.22 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? · No | 0.780 | 0.805 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.325 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.325 | $0.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.24at 0.330Will anyone say "Coffee" during Big Brother E35?
- +$3.13at 0.400Will anyone say "Coffee" during Big Brother E37?
- +$1.15at 0.472Rio Ave FC vs. CF Estrela da Amadora: O/U 2.5
- +$0.86at 0.542San Marino vs. Albania: O/U 3.5
- +$0.83at 0.552Vikingur Reykjavik vs. Keflavik IF: O/U 3.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 19:11 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 11:10 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 03:10 | Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 19:10 | Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5? | BUY | 0.3259999641 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 11:01 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 03:01 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 14:52 | Will Corpus Christi FC win on 2026-10-07? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 14:17 | SC Internacional vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 15:59 | Will FC Supra Du Quebec win on 2026-10-07? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 11:48 | Will Guandong GZ-Power FC win on 2026-10-07? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 07:56 | Wingate & Finchley FC vs. Bedford Town FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 13:17 | Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 20:08 | Will CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 18:26 | Will El Salvador win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 16:34 | Costa Rica vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |