0xB9B85b9d6942644ACb634c4913B2aCB8bDd338B6-1781835650405
0xb9b85b9d6942644acb634c4913b2acb8bdd338b6
- Realised P&L
- $-11.7k
- Volume
- $153.9k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $2.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? · No | 0.080 | 0.120 | $1.0k | +$345.76 |
| Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? · No | 0.111 | 0.125 | $904.51 | +$104.52 |
| Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? · Yes | 0.297 | 0.320 | $269.34 | +$19.34 |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.118 | $266.63 | +$86.63 |
| Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? · No | 0.311 | 0.345 | $77.63 | +$7.63 |
| Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.117 | $73.36 | +$23.36 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.257 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.8k |
| Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Brazil to score first vs. Norway? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.15at 0.195Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
- +$8.93at 0.184Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?
- +$-0.09at 0.233France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
- +$-1.17at 0.382Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$-1.53at 0.347Will England win on 2026-07-01?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 12:25 | Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | BUY | 0.1142857143 | $700.00 |
| 09-17 09:07 | Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.3111111111 | $70.00 |
| 09-17 09:07 | Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.2970191919 | $250.00 |
| 09-10 17:27 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.35 | $9.46 |
| 09-10 14:37 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3699999867 | $10.00 |
| 09-05 11:03 | Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.08 | $100.00 |
| 09-05 08:17 | Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.0798283292 | $200.00 |
| 09-05 08:17 | Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | BUY | 0.0899999992 | $100.00 |
| 09-04 10:13 | Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | BUY | 0.0800868856 | $50.00 |
| 09-04 10:12 | Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.080524706 | $500.00 |
| 09-02 12:30 | Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.08 | $80.00 |
| 07-19 21:15 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2630108299 | $2.4k |
| 07-19 20:05 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.395 | $4.1k |
| 07-19 20:01 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3949999999 | $1000.00 |
| 07-19 16:40 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.412 | $5.4k |