PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

kdf9783

0xb9ae251bfd025f83f01712a8b109d376e360e636

Realised P&L
$2.42
Volume
$1.3k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$12.09

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C or below on September 26? · No0.9990.998$12.09−$0.01
Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$0.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 03:07Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C or below on September 26?BUY0.999$12.10
08-27 03:58Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C or below on August 28?BUY0.999$11.70
08-11 08:00Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 12?BUY0.9969999998$11.60
07-30 02:28Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C or below on July 31?BUY0.999$9.80
07-15 03:56Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C or below on July 16?BUY0.998$16.10
07-04 09:57Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on July 5?BUY0.999$9.60
06-24 01:43Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C or below on June 25?BUY0.999$8.00
05-30 03:33Will Trump’s approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on May 29, 2026?BUY0.998$19.20
05-18 02:54Will "La Brea: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?BUY0.998$21.00
04-22 00:57Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 8°C or below on April 23?BUY0.999$141.99
04-05 01:10Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 5?BUY0.998$184.96
03-21 01:57Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 42.0 on March 20, 2026?BUY0.997$170.00
03-10 04:59Will "Nuremberg" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?BUY0.999$21.20
03-01 06:23Will "Reality Check: Inside America's Next Top Model" be the top US Netflix show this week?BUY0.997$190.00
02-10 06:03Will "The Investigation of Lucy Letby" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (February 10)BUY0.997$185.00