testenet
0xb9adb1d1bb12893f72c8371830c1a37789b24400
- Realised P&L
- $-33.64
- Volume
- $4.6k
- Markets traded
- 168
- Open portfolio
- $39.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded168
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.982 | 0.980 | $11.76 | −$0.02 |
| Will AVAX dip to $3 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.900 | 0.965 | $5.79 | +$0.39 |
| Will drop dead (Olivia Rodrigo) win Song of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? · No | 0.980 | 0.956 | $5.74 | −$0.14 |
| Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 Action of the Year? · No | 0.906 | 0.924 | $5.55 | +$0.11 |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? · No | 0.920 | 0.915 | $5.49 | −$0.03 |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? · No | 0.910 | 0.865 | $5.19 | −$0.27 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET · Down | 0.794 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.94 |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C or below on June 3? · No | 0.890 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.08 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 14? · No | 0.920 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.16 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? · No | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-03? · No | 0.900 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.86 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.64at 0.943WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 21?
- +$0.64at 0.872Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
- +$0.59at 0.882Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
- +$0.52at 0.904Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on May 17?
- +$0.48at 0.912Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 19:30 | NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? | BUY | 0.92 | $5.52 |
| 08-18 20:49 | Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $5.46 |
| 08-16 21:51 | Will drop dead (Olivia Rodrigo) win Song of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.88 |
| 08-12 03:04 | Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.989 | $5.93 |
| 08-11 21:56 | Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.92 | $5.52 |
| 08-11 19:37 | Will 9z Globant Win the CS2 EWC 2026? | BUY | 0.975 | $5.85 |
| 08-11 19:28 | Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.984 | $5.90 |
| 08-11 16:53 | Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.988 | $5.93 |
| 08-11 16:52 | Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.965 | $5.79 |
| 08-11 16:52 | Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.983 | $5.90 |
| 07-21 17:37 | Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.76 |
| 07-21 17:02 | Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.989 | $5.93 |
| 07-21 07:59 | Will AVAX dip to $3 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $5.40 |
| 07-21 02:36 | Will Rachel Reeves be in the Burnham cabinet? | BUY | 0.989 | $0.55 |
| 07-21 01:52 | Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.977 | $5.86 |